Seahawks at Raiders: Matchup Edges, Statistical Evidence and Market Context
Seattle Seahawks (5–4) at Las Vegas Raiders (4–5)·
NFL Week 10, Sunday afternoon·
Kickoff Sun, Nov 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Updated Nov 10, 2026, with Week 10 Reasons·
By Inside Edge Editorial·
Data through Week 9 of the 2026 season
30 of 49 Reasons favor Seattle. The Seahawks’ run defense has been the NFL’s best by success rate, and it meets the league’s least successful run game; Seattle has also allowed the fewest receiving yards per game to wide receivers, against the Raiders receiver group with the fewest. Las Vegas’s counters are real: its pass defense has been one of the NFL’s best against a light front, where Seattle’s passing game ranks last, its defense ranks 3rd in takeaways, and its passing game leads the NFL against a light rush. The market has Seattle as a 3.5-point road favorite. Both sides are shown below with sample, ranking and source context.
Inside Edge’s Week 10 view: Seattle enters Sunday with the stronger statistical profile: 30 of the game’s 49 Reasons favor the Seahawks, led by a defense that has allowed a 36% success rate on rush attempts this season (best in the NFL) against a Las Vegas offense that has been successful on 33% of its runs (worst). Las Vegas’s clearest counterarguments are on defense, against a light front and in takeaways, and in its passing numbers against a light rush, though those season figures cover all of its quarterbacks; Kirk Cousins and Fernando Mendoza both have PrizePicks lines this week, and Mendoza has played 1 game this season. The current line has Seattle -3.5 with a total of 43, shown later in this report as external market context, not an Inside Edge forecast.
| Matchup | Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders |
| Competition | NFL, Week 10 (Sunday afternoon) |
| Kickoff | Sun, Nov 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET · CBS |
| Venue | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas |
| Records | Seattle 5–4 · Las Vegas 4–5 |
| Line | Seattle -3.5 · Total 43 |
| Analysis status | Pregame; subject to change |
| Data through | Week 9, 2026 NFL regular season |
What Stood Out Last Week
Week 9
- The defense allowed scores on just 11% of drives (1 of 9), best in the NFL in Week 9, and didn’t allow a touchdown.
- Zach Charbonnet rushed for 77 yards on 16 carries (4.8 per carry), tied for 7th-most among NFL running backs, and Seahawks backs were stuffed on just 8% of runs (2 of 25), 4th-best.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught 7 passes, tied for 7th-most among NFL wide receivers.
- The passing game had no big plays: Drew Lock didn’t complete a pass of 20+ yards on 28 attempts, tied for worst among NFL QBs, and Seahawks receivers averaged 8.8 yards per catch, tied for 3rd-worst.
- Raiders tight ends had 148 receiving yards, most in the NFL in Week 9, on 10 receptions (tied for 2nd-most).
- The protection held: Las Vegas wasn’t sacked on any of its 32 pass attempts, tied for best in the NFL.
- The Raiders converted 67% of their 3rd downs, best in the NFL in Week 9.
- Turnovers and the run defense: Las Vegas committed 5 turnovers, tied for most in the NFL, and its defense allowed 193 rushing yards, the most of any team in Week 9.
Spot the Angle
Real Remarkable™ insights on Seahawks at Raiders. Pick an answer to reveal the betting spin.
- Player Prop
Question 1 of 3
Which running back is averaging 40.0 rushing yards per game over his last 3 games, and has a Rushing Yards prop of 56.5 yards this week on PrizePicks?
He's averaging 60.8 rushing yards per game over his last 5 games.
The betting spin
Answer: Zach Charbonnet. Zach Charbonnet is averaging 40.0 rushing yards per game over his last 3 games, and his PrizePicks Rushing Yards line this week is 56.5. Others in this question: Kyren Williams (LA): line 65.5, averaging 66.7 over his last 3 games; Bhayshul Tuten (JAX): line 67.5, averaging 57.3 over his last 3 games. Lines can move before kickoff.
See the prop angles ↓ - Matchup Angle
Question 2 of 3
Which defense ranks best in the NFL in rush success rate allowed, and faces the Raiders this week, whose offense ranks worst in rush success rate?
It ranks last in the NFL.
The betting spin
Answer: the Seahawks. The Seahawks have allowed a 36% success rate on rush attempts this season. The Raiders have been successful on 33% of their rush attempts this season. Seahawks: best in the NFL · Raiders: worst in the NFL.
See the edge ↓ - Key Insight
Question 3 of 3
Which team’s games have gone OVER the most often in the NFL this season, and takes on the Seahawks this week?
All 4 of their games since Week 6 have gone over.
The betting spin
Answer: the Raiders. Games involving the Raiders have gone OVER in 78% (7-2) of their games (48.3% ROI) this season — most in the NFL.
See the market context ↓
Key Findings
At a glance| Topic | Seattle | Las Vegas | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing success rate | 36% allowed, best | 33% successful, worst | Seattle |
| WR receiving yards per game | 99.6 allowed, best | 97.3 gained, worst | Seattle |
| WR receiving touchdowns | 12, T-3rd-most | 11 allowed, T-2nd-most | Seattle |
| Pass success vs. a light front | 22% successful, worst | 30% allowed, T-5th-best | Las Vegas |
| Turnovers | 16 giveaways, T-5th-most | 16 takeaways, 3rd-most | Las Vegas |
| Passer rating vs. a light rush | 107.3 allowed, 7th-worst | 156.3 rating, best | Las Vegas |
Rows use 2026 regular-season data through Week 9. Rankings are among all 32 NFL teams. Of the 49 Inside Edge Reasons generated for this game, 30 favor Seattle and 19 favor Las Vegas.
Where Seattle Has the Edge
3 verified pairsThe NFL’s stingiest run defense by success rate meets its least successful run game
SEAThe Seahawks have allowed a 36% success rate on rush attempts this season.
LVThe Raiders have been successful on 33% of their rush attempts this season.
Seattle: best in the NFL · Las Vegas: worst in the NFL.
Why it matters: This is the largest current-season rank gap in the game, and nearly every run measure points the same way. Seattle has allowed 3.6 yards per carry this season (2nd-best) against a Raiders backfield averaging 3.3 (2nd-worst), and 3.2 on 1st down (best) against 3.2 (3rd-worst). Since Week 6, Las Vegas has rushed for 234 yards, fewest in the NFL, against a Seattle defense that has allowed 302 (6th-fewest). The counterpoint: the Raiders have been successful on 55% of runs against a stacked front this season (T-8th-best), where Seattle has allowed 67% (T-3rd-worst).
Seattle’s defense has allowed a 36% success rate on rush attempts in 2026, best in the NFL, while Las Vegas’s offense has been successful on 33% of its rush attempts, worst in the NFL.
Data note
Both sides measure the same stat: rushing success rate (offense achieved, defense allowed). 2026 regular season through Week 9. The yards-per-carry pairs compare Seattle’s defense with Raiders running backs. "Since Week 6" figures cover the last four weeks of games. The stacked-front figures are FTN Data charting and come from a Reason that favors Las Vegas. Source: Inside Edge Week 10 Reasons (Remarkable™, SR = Sportradar data / FTN = FTN Data).
Seattle has allowed the fewest yards to wide receivers, and Las Vegas’s receivers have gained the fewest
SEAThe Seahawks have allowed 99.6 receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season.
LVRaiders wide receivers have 97.3 receiving yards per game this season.
Seattle: best in the NFL · Las Vegas: worst in the NFL.
Why it matters: Las Vegas has leaned on its tight ends instead: Raiders tight ends had 148 receiving yards in Week 9, most in the NFL, and Brock Bowers has topped 59.5 receiving yards in each of his 7 games this season. Seattle’s pass defense has allowed first downs on 26% of pass attempts this season, best in the NFL, while 76% of the Raiders’ first downs have come through the air (highest). The counterpoint: Seattle has allowed a 69% completion rate in the red zone this season (2nd-worst), and the Raiders have thrown on 52% of their red-zone plays (9th-highest).
Seattle’s defense has allowed 99.6 receiving yards per game to wide receivers in 2026, best in the NFL, while Las Vegas’s wide receivers have averaged 97.3 receiving yards per game, worst in the NFL.
Data note
Both sides measure the same stat: wide receiver receiving yards per game (gained and allowed). 2026 regular season through Week 9; Las Vegas WRs have 876 receiving yards in 9 games. The first-down figures come from Remarkable™ 2026 season notes, the Week 9 tight end figure from a Last Week note, the Bowers figure from this week’s PrizePicks prop insights, and the red-zone pair from a Reason that favors Las Vegas. Source: Inside Edge Week 10 Reasons (Remarkable™, SR = Sportradar data).
Seattle’s receivers find the end zone, and Las Vegas has allowed them to
SEASeahawks wide receivers have 12 receiving touchdowns this season.
LVThe Raiders have allowed 11 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers this season.
Seattle: T-3rd-most in the NFL · Las Vegas: T-2nd-most allowed in the NFL.
Why it matters: Seattle’s receivers have averaged 172.4 receiving yards per game this season (6th-best) against a Raiders defense that has allowed 160.8 to wide receivers (8th-worst), and Seattle has been successful on 58% of play-action passes (T-7th-best) against a defense that has allowed 60% (3rd-worst). Since Week 6, the Raiders have allowed 8 receiving touchdowns in the red zone, most in the NFL. The caveat is recent form: in Week 9, Drew Lock had no completions of 20+ yards on 28 attempts and Seahawks receivers averaged 8.8 yards per catch (T-3rd-worst).
Seattle’s wide receivers have caught 12 touchdown passes in 2026, tied for 3rd-most in the NFL, and Las Vegas has allowed 11 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers, tied for 2nd-most.
Data note
Both sides measure the same stat: wide receiver receiving touchdowns (scored and allowed). 2026 regular season through Week 9. Seattle’s season figures cover all of its quarterbacks. The play-action pair is FTN Data charting, the red-zone figure covers the last four weeks, and the Week 9 figures come from Remarkable™ Last Week notes. Source: Inside Edge Week 10 Reasons (Remarkable™, SR = Sportradar data / FTN = FTN Data).
Where Las Vegas Has the Edge
3 verified pairsAgainst a light front, Las Vegas’s pass defense has held up and Seattle’s passing game ranks last
LVThe Raiders have allowed a 30% success rate on pass attempts against a light front this season.
SEAThe Seahawks have been successful on 22% of pass attempts against a light front this season.
Las Vegas: T-5th-best in the NFL · Seattle: worst in the NFL.
Why it matters: This is the largest rank gap among the Reasons that favor Las Vegas. A light front puts fewer defenders near the line, usually to add help in coverage, and the Raiders have pressured quarterbacks on 35% of those dropbacks (6th-best). Across all plays, Las Vegas has pressured on 31% of dropbacks this season (T-2nd-best) against a Seattle line that has allowed pressure on 30% (T-5th-worst), and Seahawks quarterbacks have a 9.4 passer rating against tight coverage (5th-worst). The counterpoint: Seattle runs on 45% of its plays (T-9th-highest), and the Raiders have allowed 5.3 yards per carry, worst in the NFL.
Las Vegas has allowed a 30% success rate on pass attempts against a light front in 2026, tied for 5th-best in the NFL, while Seattle has been successful on 22% of its pass attempts against a light front, worst in the NFL.
Data note
"Light front" is a defensive alignment with fewer defenders in the box, as charted by FTN Data. Both sides measure passing success rate (offense achieved, defense allowed). 2026 regular season through Week 9. The pressure and tight-coverage figures come from separate Reasons for this game; the rushing figures come from a Reason that favors Seattle. Source: Inside Edge Week 10 Reasons (Remarkable™, FTN = FTN Data and SR = Sportradar data).
Las Vegas’s defense takes the ball away, and Seattle’s offense has given it up
LVThe Raiders have forced 16 turnovers this season.
SEAThe Seahawks have turned the ball over 16 times this season.
Las Vegas: 3rd-most in the NFL · Seattle: T-5th-most in the NFL.
Why it matters: Ball security has tracked with Seattle’s results: the Seahawks are 3–0 this season when they don’t throw an interception, tied for best in the NFL. Drew Lock hasn’t thrown an interception in any of his last 3 games, so this edge leans on the season total more than recent form. Las Vegas has its own problem here: it committed 5 turnovers in Week 9, tied for most in the NFL.
Las Vegas has forced 16 turnovers in 2026, 3rd-most in the NFL, and Seattle has turned the ball over 16 times, tied for 5th-most.
Data note
Both sides measure the same event from opposite ends: takeaways forced by the defense and giveaways by the offense. 2026 regular season through Week 9. The record without an interception comes from a Remarkable™ 2026 season note, the Lock streak from a streak note, and the Week 9 turnovers from a Last Week note. Source: Inside Edge Week 10 Reasons (Remarkable™, SR = Sportradar data).
Against a light rush, Raiders quarterbacks have posted the NFL’s best passer rating
LVRaiders quarterbacks have a 156.3 passer rating against a light rush this season.
SEAThe Seahawks have allowed a 107.3 passer rating when using a light rush this season.
Las Vegas: best in the NFL · Seattle: 7th-worst in the NFL.
Why it matters: Seattle’s pass rush has been quiet lately. Since Week 6, the Raiders have been successful on 53% of pass attempts against a base rush (T-4th-best) while Seattle has pressured on just 16% of base-rush dropbacks (3rd-worst), and on play-action passes the Raiders’ 62% success rate (T-4th-best) meets a Seattle pressure rate of 16% (T-4th-worst). The big caveat is who’s throwing: these numbers cover all of Las Vegas’s quarterbacks. Kirk Cousins threw all 32 of the Raiders’ passes in Week 9 and posted a 58.9 passer rating (4th-worst of 28 qualified QBs), and Fernando Mendoza, who also has PrizePicks lines this week, has played 1 game this season.
Las Vegas’s quarterbacks have a 156.3 passer rating against a light rush in 2026, best in the NFL, while Seattle has allowed a 107.3 passer rating when using a light rush, 7th-worst.
Data note
"Light rush" is FTN Data’s charting of plays where the defense sends fewer pass rushers than its standard rush. Both sides measure passer rating (offense achieved, defense allowed). 2026 regular season through Week 9. The since-Week 6 pairs cover the last four weeks and measure related but different stats (Raiders passing success rate against Seattle’s pressure rate). The Cousins figures come from Remarkable™ Last Week notes and the Mendoza figure from this week’s PrizePicks prop insights. Source: Inside Edge Week 10 Reasons (Remarkable™, FTN = FTN Data and SR = Sportradar data).
Blazing Performers
1 per teamWho’s hottest heading into Sunday, per Remarkable™. Read the clue, guess, then tap to reveal.
SeattleThis receiver has caught 5 or more passes in each of his last 9 games, the longest active streak among NFL receivers.
Las VegasThis tight end has topped 59.5 receiving yards in every game he’s played this season, 7 for 7, and has 6 or more fantasy points in each of his last 13 games.
Blazing Performers presented by LineTerminal.
Market Context
External, secondaryThe current line has Seattle as a 3.5-point road favorite with a game total of 43. Line movement isn’t shown. These are displayed as external market prices, not an Inside Edge forecast.
The Reasons count points the same way as the spread, 30 to 19 in Seattle’s favor. On scoring, Las Vegas has allowed 29.8 points per game this season, worst in the NFL, and the Seahawks have scored 12.9 points per game in the 2nd half (T-9th-best) against a Raiders defense that has allowed 14.0 (T-4th-worst). Games involving the Raiders have gone over the total in 7 of 9 this season (78%), the most in the NFL, a past result rather than a forecast. These are statistical factors, not a read on the price; Inside Edge does not state that any line is mispriced.
Not financial or betting advice. Inside Edge does not set, accept or influence sportsbook prices. Wager only through licensed, regulated platforms in your jurisdiction. Line source: Inside Edge game data, Nov 10, 2026.
Player Prop Angles
3 insights| Player | Market | Insight lean | Rating | Key trend | Save |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Jeanty | Rushing yards, 35.5 | Under · 61% | ★★★★★ | Under 35.5 in each of his last 5 | |
| Michael Mayer | Receptions, 2.5 | Over · 57% | ★★★★ | 4+ targets in each of his last 3 | |
| Tre Tucker | Receptions, 2.5 | Over · 56% | ★★★★ | 4+ targets in 8 of 9 games |
Line source: PrizePicks line via Remarkable™. Confidence is the Inside Edge confidence in the Over (Under = 100 minus Over). Sample: 2026 regular season and last 3/5 games played.
Line source: PrizePicks line via Remarkable™. Seattle players have PrizePicks lines this week, but none rated 4 or 5 stars, so the table shows Las Vegas players only; the highest-rated Seattle insight is Zach Charbonnet’s rushing line of 57.5 (3 stars, Over · 55%), with his season figures covering 2 games. Beat-the-Over rates cover only games with a posted line (Mayer 3 of 5, Tucker 4 of 6). Small sample: Fernando Mendoza has played 1 game this season (6.0 completions, 48.0 passing yards).
Methodology
How this is calculatedHow does Inside Edge decide which team "has the edge" on a given stat?
Each comparison in this report pairs one team’s strength with the opponent’s matching weakness, ranked among all 32 teams (or among qualified players where a player is named). Edges are ordered by the size of the rank gap and by how directly the two stats measure the same thing. Inside Edge does not publish a weighted "Strong Edge / Edge / Lean" score; that scoring system is in development.
Why does this page mostly use 2026 season data?
Current-season splits reflect this year’s rosters and schemes. Where a shorter window (since Week 6, the last four weeks of games) adds useful context, the row or data note says so.
How are prop insights and confidence calculated?
Each prop insight compares the posted line (the PrizePicks line via Remarkable™) to the player’s recent and season results and to what the opposing defense has allowed. The confidence figure is Inside Edge’s confidence in the Over on a 0 to 100 scale; the star rating reflects how far that figure sits from 50.
What’s the data source and refresh schedule?
Team, player and matchup statistics come from Remarkable™, Inside Edge’s proprietary sports data engine, using Sportradar and FTN Data feeds. The game line comes from Inside Edge game data, and player prop lines are PrizePicks lines via Remarkable™. Game pages refresh on a weekly cadence during the season.
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Frequently Asked Questions
5 questionsWhich team has the stronger statistical matchup profile in Seahawks at Raiders?
Seattle holds the broader statistical edge: 30 of the 49 Inside Edge Reasons for this game favor the Seahawks, led by a run defense that has allowed a 36% success rate on rush attempts this season (best in the NFL) against a Las Vegas run game that has been successful on 33% of its attempts (worst), and a defense that has allowed 99.6 receiving yards per game to wide receivers (best) against a Raiders receiver group averaging 97.3 (worst). Las Vegas’s clearest counters are a pass defense that has allowed a 30% success rate against a light front (tied for 5th-best) where Seattle’s passing game ranks last, a defense with 16 takeaways (3rd-most), and a 156.3 passer rating against a light rush (best). This reflects statistical comparison, not a forecast of the outcome.
What is the market price for Seahawks at Raiders?
The current line has Seattle as a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 43 (Inside Edge game data, Nov 10, 2026). These are external market prices, not an Inside Edge forecast, and they may change before kickoff.
What is Las Vegas’s strongest counterargument?
Las Vegas has allowed a 30% success rate on pass attempts against a light front this season, tied for 5th-best in the NFL, and Seattle has been successful on 22% of its pass attempts against a light front, worst in the NFL. The Raiders have also forced 16 turnovers (3rd-most) against a Seattle offense that has turned the ball over 16 times (tied for 5th-most), and Raiders quarterbacks have a 156.3 passer rating against a light rush (best) against a Seattle defense that has allowed 107.3 (7th-worst). The passing figures cover all of Las Vegas’s quarterbacks; Kirk Cousins and Fernando Mendoza both have PrizePicks lines this week, and Mendoza has played 1 game this season.
Who are the Blazing Performers for Seahawks at Raiders?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 5 or more receptions in each of his last 9 games, the longest active streak among NFL receivers and 3 games longer than the next, and has been targeted 10 or more times in each of his last 4 games. Brock Bowers has topped 59.5 receiving yards, his PrizePicks line this week, in each of his 7 games this season and has 6 or more fantasy points in each of his last 13 games.
Are these betting picks or financial advice?
No. This page presents descriptive, sourced statistical analysis. It is not financial or betting advice, and it does not guarantee any outcome. Market pricing is shown for context only; Inside Edge does not set or influence it.